Ferrari 458 Depreciation Curve – 2022 Update & Future Predictions

ferrari-458-depreciation-2010-Ferrari-458-Coupe

We looked at all of the used Ferrari 458s currently on sale to calculate the Ferrari 458 depreciation curve for every year and model. That includes the Coupe, Spyder, and Speciale.

Our data shows that the Ferrari 458 depreciation rate is currently 17% over the first 10 years of ownership and, more surprisingly, that the 458 Speciale has significantly appreciated in value since its launch in 2014.

We think that the post-pandemic market has had a huge impact on these prices, since they were actually much lower in 2020 but have since rebounded to even higher levels.

The cheapest 458 you can buy these days is a Coupe from the first model year in 2010, which sells for just over $200,000. Of course, the mileage and condition of each car will affect its value, but most 458s are in good condition with no more than 20,000 to 30,000 miles.

However, we have seen a few outliers with over 30,000 miles. You may be able to buy one of these for about 10-20% less than our stated averages.

So, let’s dive into our research and evaluate the Ferrari 458 depreciation curve for each model year and each trim so that current and potential owners know how much their Prancing Horse will be valued at in the future.

Ferrari 458 Depreciation Curve – Methodology

To fully model the Ferrari 458’s depreciation curve, we put together our own statistical model that used inputs from every public data source that was available on current and historic 458 sales.

That includes all 80+ listings on cars.com as well as feedback from popular message boards like FerrariChat, FerrariLife, and 6SpeedOnline.

We also found the original MSRP for each trim and estimated what the average owner would spend on options for their initial purchase.

After reading through old posts of owner experiences, we settled on a cost of 12% on top of the retail price for options, which comes out to about $25,000 to $30,000 extra.

This is important to help gauge the true depreciation rates with options and not just calculating it from the base price.

2010 Ferrari 458 Depreciation

The 458 officially debuted in 2009 and was sold as a 2010 model year. At the time of its launch, only the Coupe was available.

Based on our data, the 458 Coupe has lost about 17% of its value over the last 10+ years, which comes out to under 2% a year. That is an astonishingly low amount for such a high-priced asset that was expected to depreciate at a “normal” rate of 5-10% per year.

YearModelRetail PricePrice with OptionsCurrent Market ValueDeprecation %
2010458 Coupe$223,325$250,124$207,603-17%

2011 Ferrari 458 Depreciation

The 2011 model year was also for the 458 Coupe alone and depreciation rates have been steadily following the trend of the 2010s.

A 458 that is one year newer will save you about 2% in depreciation, which comes out to about a $7,000 to $10,000 difference.

YearModelRetail PricePrice with OptionsCurrent Market ValueDeprecation %
2011458 Coupe$225,325$252,364$214,509-15%

2012 Ferrari 458 Depreciation

2012 was the first year of the Ferrari 458 Spyder. It was priced about $27,000 higher than the Coupe and we have seen that it had held its value a bit better than the Coupe.

Also note that the depreciation rates are generally in the same range each year, but the actual gap in value increases.

That is due to the fact that Ferrari kept increasing its base prices to keep up with inflation (or what it thought was a fair amount for inflation of exotic cars at least).

YearModelRetail PricePrice with OptionsCurrent Market ValueDeprecation %
2012458 Coupe$229,825$257,404$221,367-14%
2012458 Spyder$257,000$287,840$253,299-12%

2013 Ferrari 458 Depreciation

The 458 lineup remained the same for model year 2013. The only difference was another increase in the base price of both the Coupe and the Spyder. Depreciation rates remain on track.

YearModelRetail PricePrice with OptionsCurrent Market ValueDeprecation %
2013458 Coupe$233,509$261,530$230,146-12%
2013458 Spyder$257,412$288,301$259,471-10%

2014 Ferrari 458 Depreciation

ferrari-458-depreciation-2014-Ferrari-458-Speciale

2014 marked the launch of the 458 Speciale. What is amazing is that this low production model has actually gone up quite a bit since its debut.

Currently, the average used 458 Speciale is priced at $432,000, which represents an appreciation of 30%.  

YearModelRetail PricePrice with OptionsCurrent Market ValueDeprecation %
2014458 Coupe$233,509$261,530$232,762-12%
2014458 Spyder$257,412$288,301$265,237-10%
2014458 Speciale$288,000$322,560$432,000+30%

2015 Ferrari 458 Depreciation

2015 was the last model year for all 458s. These models have also suffered from the lowest amount of depreciation even after 5+ years.

The Coupe and the Spyder have lost almost nothing in value. Meanwhile, the Speciale is up an incredible 50%. We didn’t even take into account some of the “new” Speciales that are for sale with less than 1,000 miles. Those are currently selling for over $1,000,000.

YearModelRetail PricePrice with OptionsCurrent Market ValueDeprecation %
2015458 Coupe$239,340$268,061$254,658-5%
2015458 Spyder$263,553$295,179$280,420-5%
2015458 Speciale$291,744$326,753$487,500+50%

Ferrari 458 Depreciation Curve – 5 Year Forecast

Here is our estimate for the value of each Ferrari 458 over the next five years so that you can plan when you may want to buy or sell one: 

YearModelYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
2010458 Coupe$202,600$200,099$197,598$195,097$192,595
(-23%)
2011458 Coupe$209,462$206,938$204,415$201,891$199,368
(-21%)
2012458 Coupe$218,793$213,645$211,071$208,497$205,923
(-20%)
2012458 Spyder$250,421$247,542$244,664$241,786$238,907
(-17%)
2013458 Coupe$224,916$222,301$217,070$214,455$211,839
(-19%)
2013458 Spyder$253,705$250,822$247,939$245,056$242,173
(-16%)
2014458 Coupe$230,146$224,916$222,301$217,070$214,455
(-18%)
2014458 Spyder$259,471$253,705$247,939$245,056$239,290
(-17%)
2014458 Speciale???????????????
2015458 Coupe$249,297$238,574$235,894$233,213$227,852
(-15%)
2015458 Spyder$271,565$265,661$259,758$253,854$250,902
(-15%)
2015458 Speciale???????????????

Based on this forecast, we see that the Ferrari 458 depreciation curve is quite stable and will reach about 23% in the next five years for the 2010 Coupes. That means that you should be able to buy one comfortably under $200,000 by that point.

However, we have already seen 458 values well under $200,000 before the pandemic hit in 2020, so there is a chance that we may see them again soon since today’s market is probably a bit elevated.

If the post-pandemic inflation starts to cool off, expect to see sub-$200,000 values in about 2 to 3 years.

You will also see that we omitted any predictions for the 458 Speciale. The future value of this model can go in so many different directions, so we did not think it would be appropriate to speculate on something that was already supposed to depreciate and did not.

Ferrari 458 Depreciation – Summary

This guide should give you a good overview about what to expect for Ferrari 458 depreciation rates currently and for the next five years.

It’s never easy to time the used exotic car market, so our advice is to just jump in when you have enough set aside to pull the trigger and not worry about their future values.

After all, Ferraris are meant to be driven and enjoyed!

Articles You Might Also Like